Minor snow event actually happened … a bigger one on the way?
The historic snowstorm which buried the mid-Atlantic states in 2 or more feet of snow brushed us on its way by. Moderate snow started falling around 1630 on Friday (5 Feb) and continued til about 2330. It was quite windy at times; gusts at my house reached 20mph (on my fairly sheltered anemometer, located just 2m AGL. This wind caused white-out conditions near the ground, only occasionally more than 3 feet off the ground.We had 3" of snow; followed today by a rare (for this year, so far) sunny day.
The 00Z 07 Feb NAM model shows us getting about 0.5" LWE for late Monday through Tuesday evening; with temperatures in the lower 3km in the mid to high teens. This could give us as much as 10" snow. That would be so cool!
The HPC is less optimistic, giving us a 40% chance of >4", but no chance of >8".
Even >4" would likely make this the biggest snow storm so far of this pathetic winter here in Fort Wayne.
The Northern Indiana WFO most recent Special Weather Statement shows guarded optimism:1020 PM EST SAT FEB 6 2010
…SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT…
A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL ORGANIZE OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON SUNDAY AND MOVE EAST…SPREADING SNOWFALL INTO THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT. SNOW MAY POTENTIALLY BECOME HEAVY ON TUESDAY AND PERSIST INTO TUESDAY NIGHT WITH SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA. GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THE SYSTEM…ESPECIALLY TUESDAY NIGHT CAUSING CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING.
SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTY REMAINS REGARDING THE TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM…WHICH COULD HAVE A MAJOR IMPACT ON FORECAST PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS. REGARDLESS OF THE FINAL TRACK…A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT WILL BE FELT ACROSS MUCH OF THE GION. BE PREPARED FOR A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT…AND STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS AS FORECAST DETAILS EVOLVE.
awc 2010-02-07 00:07:18
|  IN-AL-99 |
